According to two polls released on Thursday, former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are in a tight race for the presidency.
Nationwide, both candidates received 47 per cent support among likely voters, but Harris holds a slight lead in Pennsylvania, a critical battleground state, as reported by The Hill.
The New York Times, Siena College, and the Philadelphia Inquirer conducted the surveys, which show Harris ahead by 4 points in Pennsylvania, 50 per cent to 46 per cent.
The polls were conducted just before an alleged assassination attempt on Trump last Sunday, revealing a close race overall. Among registered voters nationwide, Trump holds a 1-point lead over Harris, 47 per cent to 46 per cent.
This represents a slight shift from early September polling, which had Trump leading by 2 points, 48 per cent to 46 per cent.
On the other hand, Trump holds significant advantages among men, seniors, and white voters. He leads Harris 52 per cent to 39 per cent among men and 50 per cent to 44 per cent among voters aged 65 and older. White voters also favour Trump, 53 per cent to 43 per cent for Harris.
In Pennsylvania, the demographic breakdown mirrors national trends. Harris leads among women, with 57 per cent to Trump’s 41 per cent, and has strong backing from younger voters and Black voters, receiving 61 per cent and 82 per cent support, respectively.
Trump holds a majority among men, with 53 per cent support, and 51 per cent of white voters in the state favour him.
Interestingly, Harris leads Trump among seniors in Pennsylvania, 50 per cent to 47 per cent, a notable difference from the national trend where Trump leads in this group.
Harris’s favorability ratings have improved in Pennsylvania, rising from 42 per cent in early July to 51 per cent now. Nationally, 48 per cent of likely voters view her favourably.
Trump’s favorability has also improved, with 47 per cent of voters holding a positive view of him, which is an increase from earlier this year.
In The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s national polling average, Harris leads Trump by 3.6 points, 49.7 per cent to 46.1 per cent.
In Pennsylvania, the race is even closer, with Harris leading by just 1 point, 48.8 per cent to 47.8 per cent. The surveys were conducted from September 11 to 16, with a margin of error of 3 percentage points nationally and 3.8 points in Pennsylvania.